AS Merpins vs Lège-Cap-Ferret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
75.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEG
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
LEG
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
6 - 1
LEG
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEG
1 - 0
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LES
0 - 0
LEG
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |