Melfi vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIG
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
ASM
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
USP
58%
21%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USP
4 - 0
FON
74%
18%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
USP
59%
22%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
USP
2 - 0
LAQ
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |