Melfi vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
72.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
ASM
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 2
COS
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 1
SSC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 1
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 1
UDI
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 1
UDI
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
UDI
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |