Melfi vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MES
3 - 4
ASM
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 1
USV
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 4
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |