Melfi vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 0
PAG
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 4
RAA
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SSB
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SSB
2 - 1
PAG
54%
25%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SSB
0 - 2
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
SSB
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |