Melfi vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
GAV
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
CHI
28%
27%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAA
3 - 2
VIG
29%
28%
43%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 1
ARZ
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
RAA
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 3
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
RAA
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |