Melfi vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 2
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 1
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
ISC
25%
26%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
16%
24%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
AKR
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |