Melfi vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 3
ASM
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASM
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCC
37%
28%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAM
71%
19%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAG
38%
29%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
EBO
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
PAG
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |