Melfi vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 4
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USF
2 - 2
ASM
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 2
TUT
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
ASM
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 1
NUO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
NUO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |