Melfi vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 1
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 0
ASM
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
68%
21%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MES
1 - 0
LCR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MES
2 - 1
MAT
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |