Melfi vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 2
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
JUS
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAT
46%
27%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAT
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |