Melfi vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASM
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
USF
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAT
13%
24%
64%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
FCC
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
JUS
6 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |