Melfi vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 2
ASM
61%
21%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 2
USP
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIG
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIG
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
USP
58%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |