Melfi vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASM
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
FON
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 2
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
44%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 0
GIU
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |