Melfi vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
ASM
26%
27%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 2
ASM
61%
21%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 2
USP
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FON
1 - 2
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
PON
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
FON
86%
11%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FON
1 - 3
LAQ
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |