Melfi vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASM
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 2
JUS
29%
27%
45%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASM
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 1
CIS
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
USV
1 - 2
ASM
26%
27%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 3
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEL
60%
24%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
FCC
39%
28%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCC
0 - 0
RAA
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |