Melfi vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 1
ASM
35%
27%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
EBO
0 - 3
ASM
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASM
82%
14%
5%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCC
33%
28%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 2
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |