Melfi vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASM
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 0
FCC
31%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
ASM
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 3
CAT
12%
23%
65%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
ASM
59%
25%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
FCC
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
19%
28%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |