Melfi vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
3 - 3
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAA
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 2
CAS
20%
25%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
USF
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |