Melfi vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APR
4 - 4
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 2
CAS
20%
25%
56%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
RAA
51%
25%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 1
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 3
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SOR
2 - 0
ARZ
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |