Alexandroupolis FC vs Kilkisiakos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
18º
14º
27
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 77 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 64 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 61 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 37 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
16º
|
55% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
67% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 10 |
18º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
85.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandroupolis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOU
0 - 3
ASM
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 2
PAK
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
0 - 0
ASM
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AKV
2 - 1
ASM
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASM
2 - 1
APP
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Kilkisiakos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 0
PNA
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 2
AEE
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
KIL
1 - 1
THT
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PNM
2 - 1
KIL
68%
20%
13%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 0
KIL
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |