Marsa vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASD
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
OCK
0 - 2
ASD
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
TAT
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
TAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
OLY
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |