Marsa vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
CSH
3 - 1
ASD
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
ASD
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
CLU
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
JSK
3 - 1
ASD
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
GAB
53%
27%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 0
GAB
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
JSK
1 - 2
ETO
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ETO
2 - 1
CLU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ETO
3 - 1
GAB
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |