Marsa vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 1
ASD
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 2
CAB
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
CLU
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JSK
1 - 3
ASD
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
PRI
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
CLU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAB
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 1
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JSK
0 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |