Marsa vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CSH
1 - 2
ASD
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
JEN
50%
29%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ESH
0 - 0
ASD
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CSS
1 - 0
ASD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 2
CLU
44%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
SET
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SET
0 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAB
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USM
0 - 1
ESP
46%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ISM
2 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |