Marsa vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESP
20%
27%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
OLY
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 3
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |