Marsa vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
12º
13º
16
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
ASD
61%
25%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
CSS
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 2
EGS
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ASD
4 - 0
BEM
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
USM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CSS
2 - 0
CAB
40%
32%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ESH
1 - 0
CAB
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 1
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
CAB
44%
30%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |