Marsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASS
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |