Marsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASS
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |