Marsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
ASD
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 0
STA
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
3 - 0
SFA
77%
17%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 1
ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CSS
2 - 1
BEN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
ETO
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
SBA
2 - 7
BEN
4%
12%
84%
|
71 | 8 | 63 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAT
0 - 0
BEN
31%
33%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JSK
1 - 1
BEN
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |