Marsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASD
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 1
CSS
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
EGS
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
ASD
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
ZAR
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
EGS
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
BEN
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 2
ETO
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |