Marsa vs Oued Ellil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
9º
1º
31
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
ESJ
0 - 1
ASD
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
JSK
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GAB
0 - 0
ASD
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
4 - 1
ASM
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASD
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oued Ellil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 1
ROG
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 0
OUE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 0
MED
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
JEN
1 - 2
OUE
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
OUE
1 - 1
ASM
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |