Marsa vs AS Kasserine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 0
ASD
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 0
CSH
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASD
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ASD
0 - 0
ETO
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CSS
3 - 0
ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kasserine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
EGS
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
LAN
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
ZAR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
5 - 0
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
ETO
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |