La Chataigneraie vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
8º
3
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 4
LAV
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
LPS
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 5
ASC
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NIO
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 1
SAB
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
ACG
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NIO
3 - 0
SAB
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |