AS Kigali vs Sunrise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
ASK
47%
28%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EDE
0 - 0
ASK
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ASK
0 - 1
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASK
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 1
AMA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunrise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 2
MFC
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
3 - 0
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
ETI
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
MUK
1 - 0
SUN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUG
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |