AS Kigali vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
47
4º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 0
ASK
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASK
3 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 2
SUN
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 0
GFC
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASK
4 - 0
ESP
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 3
POL
49%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
POL
46%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 0
POL
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KIY
1 - 0
POL
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |