AS Kigali vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
4º
44
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 0
EDE
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
APR
0 - 2
ASK
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 0
BUG
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 0
ASK
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MUK
2 - 2
ASK
47%
27%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 2
MUK
44%
29%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 0
GFC
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 1
ETI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
ETI
33%
29%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 0
MUS
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |