AS Kigali vs Etincelles FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 0
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MUS
2 - 4
ASK
44%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ASK
2 - 0
MUK
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -11 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
ASK
2 - 2
MUK
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
POL
0 - 2
ASK
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
ETI
1 - 3
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POL
5 - 1
ETI
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
ETI
1 - 2
MUS
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -4 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ETI
2 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
MUH
1 - 1
ETI
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |