AS Kasserine vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kasserine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 0
LAN
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LAN
0 - 1
CLU
30%
31%
39%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
CSS
28%
30%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USM
1 - 0
LAN
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
OLY
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 2
USM
41%
30%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
OLY
1 - 0
ASD
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 1
ETO
45%
31%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 1
STA
43%
30%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
0 - 0
ASD
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |