AS Gubbio 1910 vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
ASG
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASG
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASG
2 - 1
FCV
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 1
ASG
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASG
0 - 0
SSB
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 1
FCV
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 1
NOC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 4
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
NOC
20%
27%
54%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |