Supercoppa di Serie C Final
Global 1-2
AS Gubbio 1910 vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASG
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASG
3 - 1
PAG
57%
26%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 1
ASG
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 0
ACL
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASG
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
23%
29%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOC
3 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 2
JUS
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |