AS Gubbio 1910 vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
6 - 0
ASG
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ASG
3 - 3
CRO
31%
28%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASG
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
ASG
0 - 2
BRE
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ASG
2 - 0
MOD
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
LIV
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 1
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |