Fortuna Mfou vs Canon Yaoundé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
15º
9º
17
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 49 |
1º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 48 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 48 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 46 |
4º
|
6% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 36 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 26 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
4% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Mfou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
YOU
2 - 0
ASF
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASF
1 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 19 | 44 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASF
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASF
0 - 1
STR
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Canon Yaoundé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COS
0 - 1
CAN
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
PWD
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
COT
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 1
CAN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
DYD
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |