AS Figline vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
8º
7º
5
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 15% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26.5% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Figline
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 0
ASF
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
ASF
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
ACS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USP
4 - 1
ASF
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 2
MPO
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 0
ACS
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
TRA
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
GAV
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |