CAF Champions Last 16
Global 3-5
AS Faso/Yennenga vs ES Setif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Faso/Yennenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 0
ASF
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
ASF
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ASF
3 - 1
USY
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 1
ASF
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ASF
3 - 0
FEL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
SET
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 0
ASF
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 0
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
SET
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SET
2 - 1
USM
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |