KAS Eupen vs Jong Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
14º
12º
13
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 68 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
16º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KSK
3 - 0
EUP
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EUP
1 - 3
ZUL
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DIK
2 - 3
EUP
11%
17%
72%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RWD
2 - 1
EUP
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
EUP
2 - 2
WAA
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
0 - 3
RWD
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAA
3 - 2
KRC
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
FBO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 1
LIE
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 2
KRC
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |