KAS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NAM
3 - 3
EUP
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EUP
1 - 2
TUB
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EUP
1 - 0
TIE
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EUP
3 - 1
DEI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
KSK
2 - 2
EUP
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 0
OLY
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
TOU
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
KVK
2 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
OOS
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
RSW
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |