Pays Neslois vs Gravelines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
74.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pays Neslois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PAN
0 - 0
CHA
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HAZ
1 - 3
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
CAL
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |