CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
AS Kaloum vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kaloum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASH
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
USM
2 - 1
ASD
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
ASD
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 1
ZES
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ZES
1 - 1
ASD
15%
21%
65%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
USM
0 - 0
ALG
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
USM
2 - 1
ASD
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
USM
1 - 0
USM
27%
31%
42%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
USM
1 - 1
EUL
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
PIK
1 - 1
USM
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |