Douanes vs Sonabel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
10º
1º
35
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ETO
0 - 2
ASD
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SET
3 - 5
ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAJ
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 2
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
VFC
49%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sonabel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASE
1 - 1
SON
39%
30%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SON
2 - 0
ASP
34%
29%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 0
SON
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
1 - 0
SON
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SON
1 - 1
RAI
39%
29%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |