Douanes vs Royal FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
10º
1º
33
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
ASP
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
RAI
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
USF
0 - 0
ASD
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Royal FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 2
RFC
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 1
RFC
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 0
ASP
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ETO
1 - 2
RFC
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |